Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 1.961630e-02 0.021598 0.023588 0.025731 0.027969 0.030233 0.032691
2025-05-25 1.529905e-02 0.018366 0.021573 0.025150 0.029006 0.033018 0.037488
2025-06-01 1.278843e-02 0.016441 0.020379 0.024885 0.029849 0.035109 0.041061
2025-06-08 1.077510e-02 0.014796 0.019256 0.024475 0.030332 0.036629 0.043847
2025-06-15 9.402429e-03 0.013720 0.018636 0.024499 0.031178 0.038447 0.046861
2025-06-22 7.995948e-03 0.012470 0.017703 0.024069 0.031430 0.039532 0.048999
2025-06-29 6.618044e-03 0.011127 0.016564 0.023312 0.031234 0.040054 0.050450
2025-07-06 5.309798e-03 0.009750 0.015287 0.022312 0.030689 0.040123 0.051341
2025-07-13 4.774073e-03 0.009333 0.015153 0.022645 0.031667 0.041900 0.054135
2025-07-20 4.073662e-03 0.008626 0.014606 0.022437 0.031977 0.042885 0.056007
2025-07-27 3.470462e-03 0.007995 0.014115 0.022265 0.032302 0.043864 0.057852
2025-08-03 3.267781e-03 0.007933 0.014358 0.022997 0.033703 0.046088 0.061119
2025-08-10 2.746936e-03 0.007384 0.013985 0.023018 0.034337 0.047529 0.063626
2025-08-17 2.104318e-03 0.006564 0.013214 0.022524 0.034355 0.048270 0.065363
2025-08-24 1.629524e-03 0.005939 0.012660 0.022271 0.034637 0.049298 0.067408
2025-08-31 1.198596e-03 0.005298 0.012032 0.021883 0.034723 0.050070 0.069137
2025-09-07 9.243901e-04 0.004898 0.011729 0.021906 0.035305 0.051424 0.071536
2025-09-14 6.219619e-04 0.004338 0.011133 0.021500 0.035322 0.052077 0.073093
2025-09-21 3.456101e-04 0.003693 0.010344 0.020786 0.034915 0.052194 0.073996
2025-09-28 1.342260e-04 0.003017 0.009428 0.019843 0.034177 0.051879 0.074363
2025-10-05 8.026045e-05 0.002864 0.009392 0.020156 0.035075 0.053571 0.077126
2025-10-12 2.250312e-05 0.002540 0.009021 0.019960 0.035287 0.054407 0.078853
2025-10-19 6.386572e-07 0.002253 0.008685 0.019798 0.035532 0.055274 0.080609